Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $45.88
- Potential payout
- $374.5
- Potential profit
- $328.62
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$9.12
Polymarket Trader
snapmaw
0xb1b0ea11469e738a7691c0d2ee71cc973ad75b25
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $93.07
- Realized PnL
- $1.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $310
- User PnL
- -$191.6
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $29.22
- Potential payout
- $254.1
- Potential profit
- $224.88
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$20.78
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $17.97
- Potential payout
- $156.25
- Potential profit
- $138.28
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$32.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $819.09
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $542.27
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.9
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
Y
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.3
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.33
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.06
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.77
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.66
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times June 6–13?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.59
Yes position
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.26
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.69
No position
US x Iran ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.86
No position
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.86
No position
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
No position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.11
Yes position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.21
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
Will Trump say "China" 10+ times during his cabinet meeting on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77
No position
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will Trump lower tariffs on India next?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will Trump say "Make a Deal" during his cabinet meeting on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 19.7% 254.1 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 14.7% 374.5 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?Yes 32% 156.25 shares
- Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes 63.5% 133 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Yes 49% 90 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes 36.9% 54.2 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 14% 625 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 4% 119.52 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes 35.9% 139.28 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes 33.9% 147.67 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 4.2% 119.52 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?Yes 40.7% 122.93 shares