Polymarket Trader

0xb1B877039149a16F70Ecf1E3540C7Be2e9b1465A-1769477438011

0xb1b877039149a16f70ecf1e3540c7be2e9b1465a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $369.4
Realized PnL: $14.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.3K
Potential profit: $10.3K
User PnL: -$1.3K

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.34K
Potential profit: $3.34K
User PnL: -$160

Yes position

James Comey charges dropped by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.55K
Potential profit: $2.55K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $1.94K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.84K
User PnL: -$700

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $134.21
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.44K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$165.79

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $76.46
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.31K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$423.54

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.25
Potential profit: $909.25
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.38
Potential profit: $333.38
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $291.49
Potential profit: $291.49
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289.14
Potential profit: $289.14
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $208.33
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $158.73
Potential payout: $158.73
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $58.73

Patriots position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.06
Potential profit: $35.06
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.52K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $155.9

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 19% 1,578.95 shares
James Comey charges dropped by May 31?

Yes 3.9% 2,552.22 shares
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

No 63% 158.73 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Yes 34.3% 291.49 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Yes 8% 1,250 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes 38% 1,842.11 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Yes 16.8% 2,977.83 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Yes 36% 1,390.13 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Yes 22.2% 4,495.25 shares
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?

Yes 4% 1,003.61 shares
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?

Yes 4.4% 909.25 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Yes 21% 1,904.76 shares