No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $154.76K
- Potential payout
- $155.61K
- Potential profit
- $855.87
- User PnL
- $12.95K
Polymarket Trader
NonceChaser
0xb1ca909e848cc24ec4e220ce1c453bc290c51705
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $532.37K
- Realized PnL
- $330.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $2.64K
- Potential payout
- $155.41K
- Potential profit
- $152.76K
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- $73.82
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $3.44K
- Potential payout
- $152.78K
- Potential profit
- $149.34K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $138.72K
- Potential payout
- $140.19K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.54K
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $1.48K
- Potential payout
- $102.05K
- Potential profit
- $100.57K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $365.56
Yes position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $1.88K
- Potential payout
- $101.63K
- Potential profit
- $99.75K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $660.97
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $89.86K
- Potential payout
- $90K
- Potential profit
- $135
- User PnL
- $10.01K
No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $26.7K
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $33.3K
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$3.3K
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $33.3K
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $26.7K
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $3.3K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $57.44K
- Potential payout
- $57.99K
- Potential profit
- $550.9
- User PnL
- $5.73K
Yes position
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $375
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.63K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $178.15
Yes position
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $325
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.68K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $128.15
Yes position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $775
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.23K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- $578.15
Yes position
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $325
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.68K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $128.15
Yes position
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $675
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.33K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $478.15
Yes position
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $325
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.68K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$24.68K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $375
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.63K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $178.15
Yes position
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $325
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.68K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $128.15
Yes position
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $475
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.53K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $278.15
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $425
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.58K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $228.15
Yes position
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $325
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.68K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $128.15
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 33.4%
- Current value
- $16.68K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $33.33K
- Multiplier
- 3.00x
- User PnL
- $16.48K
Yes position
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $375
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.63K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $178.15
Yes position
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $375
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.63K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $178.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.62K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.53K
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $18.99K
Yes position
Will Seán Kyne win the 2026 Galway West by-election?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.24K
Yes position
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.79K
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.1%
- Multiplier
- 4.15x
- User PnL
- $10.28K
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.91K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.38K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.51K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69K
No position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.58K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.03K
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $5.88K
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $5.13K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05K
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.3%
- Multiplier
- 10.81x
- User PnL
- $4.06K
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 8.4%
- Multiplier
- 11.98x
- User PnL
- $3.81K
Yes position
Will David Brock Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.04K
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01K
Yes position
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.98K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?Yes 99.9% 4,900.05 shares
- Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Yes 99.9% 1,132.93 shares
- Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?No 99.6% 188.53 shares
- Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Yes 99.4% 631.47 shares
- Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?No 99.5% 1,635.37 shares
- Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Yes 98.7% 12,365.41 shares
- Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?Yes 99.9% 2,400.66 shares
- Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?No 99.9% 4,600.88 shares
- Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?No 99.6% 883 shares
- Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?Yes 99.6% 1,734.46 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?No 99.8% 5,992.47 shares
- Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?No 0.3% 298.98 shares