Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Polymarket Trader
haobahaode
@vhylc58216853
0xb1d8d3f30a4dcd350804f2fcdea947e4ee2a58a2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.24
- Realized PnL
- $2.98
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$2.2
No position
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.71
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- User PnL
- -$1.69
No position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.24
- Potential payout
- $1.24
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 23?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.8% 1 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.6% 1.13 shares
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 99.9% 1.24 shares
- Starmer out by June 15, 2026?No 99.8% 1.16 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?No 99.2% 1.01 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 99.8% 1.35 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No 99.9% 1.18 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 14?No 99.7% 1 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 14?No 99.9% 1.28 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14?Yes 99.9% 1.17 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 14?Yes 99.9% 1.22 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?No 99.9% 87.09 shares