Polymarket Trader

PFITZ

0xb1df6a69eaa5aaf196257856dc240f25b45f309d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.95K
Realized PnL: $288.36
Win rate: 54.2%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $714.12
Potential payout: $734.69
Potential profit: $20.57
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $136.09

No position

Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $522.66
Potential payout: $590.58
Potential profit: $67.92
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $42.2

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $75
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $258.33
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $137.89
Potential payout: $198.43
Potential profit: $60.54
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $7.89

Yes position

Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $123.39
Potential payout: $188.38
Potential profit: $64.99
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $13.39

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $125.74
Potential payout: $182.25
Potential profit: $56.52
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$14.93

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $57.5
Potential payout: $126.37
Potential profit: $68.87
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $9.18

No position

Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $115.68
Potential payout: $122.35
Potential profit: $6.67
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $20.05

Yes position

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $35.7
Potential payout: $51.37
Potential profit: $15.67
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $3.85

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $36.27
Potential payout: $47.1
Potential profit: $10.83
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $8.95

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $9.56
Potential payout: $35.4
Potential profit: $25.85
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$5.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $78.8

No position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.81

Yes position

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.45

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: $36.97

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $26.66

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.86

No position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $19.17

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.05

Yes position

Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.45

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.24

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.36

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.91

No position

Will Trump say “Thousand” or “Million” or “Billion” 5+ times during UFC 250?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.6

TYLOO position

Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

paiN position

Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$3.9

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.99

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.69

Yes position

Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$7.54

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$12.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

No 78.2% 122.35 shares
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 18% 31.21 shares
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 6% 40.92 shares
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?

Yes 99.7% 87.71 shares
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

No 58% 47.1 shares
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?

Yes 57% 87.72 shares
Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 64.1% 31.21 shares
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 24.4% 40.93 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 30% 166.67 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Yes 30% 166.67 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 57.6% 361.14 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 61% 361.15 shares