Polymarket Trader

baliorn

0xb1e168f86060702462697797798c27b5dffcf2fb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $282.23
Realized PnL: $13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $160.62
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $2.49K
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: -$139.38

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $120.84
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$250.98

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.23
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$0.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.66K

No position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85K

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $814.82

No position

US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $381.52

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $312.15

No position

US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.43

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $112.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.78

Yes position

Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.99

No position

Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.14

No position

US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.04

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.6

No position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.67

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.55

No position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.27

No position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.6

Rockets position

Rockets vs. Pacers

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.82

Israel position

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $9.78

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes 5% 20 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 0.9% 111.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Up 16% 31.25 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.3% 2,654.87 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 20% 1,859.1 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Israel 68.1% 454.59 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?

Israel 66% 454.59 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 1.7% 21,247.92 shares
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

No 53% 2.48 shares
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

No 75% 2.48 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 93% 2 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 90% 7,962.96 shares