hard

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.97
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $40.01
Potential profit: $39.89
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will Scotland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $39.64
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $38.88
Potential profit: $38.34
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $30.52
Potential profit: $30.47
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.95
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $28.24
Potential profit: $28.1
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$1.72

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $19.39
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $19.9
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $19.53
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $19.96
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $19.7
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $1.46
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $18.55
Multiplier: 13.70x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $19.83
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $19.98
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $20.01
Potential profit: $19.94
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.92
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.69
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.43
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.78
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.81
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $0.66
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.34
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.94
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.39
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$1.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.65

Yes position

President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.15

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.66

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.61

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.58

Yes position

Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.4

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.16

Yes position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Implied probability: 5.1%
Multiplier: 19.61x
User PnL: $2.08

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73

Yes position

Liverpool wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61

Yes position

Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.53

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.8%
Multiplier: 6.76x
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Implied probability: 3.4%
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.16

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Implied probability: 4.9%
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: $1.15

San Francisco Unicorns position

Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Texas Super Kings

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.12

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.9%
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: $1.07

Yes position

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?