Polymarket Trader

kogg

0xb1e2c40dd0ee0c0b6148ff20412ebd950af7fee7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $218.85
Realized PnL: $159.05
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $37.9
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $162.1
Multiplier: 5.28x
User PnL: $14.3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $165
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $35
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.5
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.75
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$56.75

Yes position

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $9.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $30.8
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$8.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.67

No position

Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$3.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

No position

Bitcoin all time high by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

No position

Will the next UK election be called by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will Solana reach $300 in September?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.6

No position

Will Solana reach $580 before 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.35

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

No position

Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,600 on August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37

No position

Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Ethereum reach $6000 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 83% 200 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 75% 66.67 shares
Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Yes 96.6% 103.52 shares
Will less than 5000 US flights be delayed on March 24?

No 2.5% 20 shares
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)

UCLA Bruins 50% 1,000 shares
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 164.5

Over 51% 1,000 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

No 97.6% 40 shares
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones

Kentucky Wildcats 32% 1,000 shares
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)

Kansas Jayhawks 48.8% 1,000 shares
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5

Under 48% 1,000 shares
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers: O/U 137.5

Over 52% 1,000 shares
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)

Miami Hurricanes 48% 40 shares