Yes position
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $45.59
- Potential payout
- $112.57
- Potential profit
- $66.98
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$6.88
Polymarket Trader
captaincava
0xb1fb434c92ae291c8f51bc3280b1312e9ba179b2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $55.52
- Realized PnL
- -$35.02
- Win rate
- 14.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.94
- Potential profit
- $104.94
- User PnL
- -$36.63
No position
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $9.5
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $3
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $7.73
- Potential profit
- $7.31
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$4.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will Amy Madigan be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.67
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.69
No position
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.96
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Teddy Swims perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$22.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes 34.9% 104.94 shares
- Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 46.6% 112.57 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 23% 198 shares
- Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?No 98.9% 5 shares
- Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?No 53% 5 shares
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?No 95.8% 5 shares
- Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?Yes 1% 10 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 25% 198 shares
- Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?Yes 64% 7.73 shares
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?No 96.1% 5 shares
- Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?No 98.9% 5 shares
- Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?Yes 1.4% 5 shares