Polymarket Trader

ToniPolster

0xb1fcbff6ff8041f3f144925b7977da4ab91551ac

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $101.39
Realized PnL: $304.82
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.1K
Potential profit: $7.1K
User PnL: -$33.99

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $2.33K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $185.19
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.45
Potential profit: $103.45
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.36
Potential profit: $98.36
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $6.87
Potential payout: $59.76
Potential profit: $52.89
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$8.13

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $9.34
Potential payout: $58.56
Potential profit: $49.22
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $2.14

No position

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $37.4
Potential payout: $51.95
Potential profit: $14.55
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $30.61
Potential profit: $29.46
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$13.85

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.37
Potential profit: $28.37
User PnL: -$10.78

No position

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.8%
Current value: $19.94
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $2.78
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 38.6%
Current value: $7.13
Potential payout: $18.49
Potential profit: $11.36
Multiplier: 2.59x
User PnL: $4.78

Yes position

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.55
Potential profit: $17.55
User PnL: -$3.53

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $10.76
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $0.87
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.76

No position

Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $8.8
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $1.21
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.45

Yes position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.99

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.37

No position

U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.35

Yes position

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.81

Yes position

North Korea missile launch by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.7

No position

Will Epstein Data Set 9 be released before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.45

Yes position

Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.25

Yes position

U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

No position

Jack Smith charged by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.05

No position

US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.78

Yes position

U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.78

No position

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17.5m?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.97

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

No position

The Bondi Parlay (Feb 27)

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.28

No position

Trump's travel ban removed by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

No position

Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

No position

AWS service disrupted by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

No position

Iran strike on US military by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

No 99.7% 47.07 shares
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 666.67 shares
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 1,666.67 shares
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Yes 14.5% 103.45 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.3% 97.56 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.7% 94.49 shares
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 10.5% 142.86 shares
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Yes 38% 47.37 shares
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Yes 20.1% 89.55 shares
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Yes 12% 166.67 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.4% 185.19 shares