Polymarket Trader

0x58a0e3A78AdabA0A35B40B905aB0ba10919d5dA0-1762749942156

0xb1fdf8c7dd3ad91b9b24879385c53f880f1dbd30

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.26
Realized PnL: $146.85
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $21.09
Potential profit: $19.93
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$1.53

Yes position

Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.1
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$3.9

No position

Will Paradex launch a token by April 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will Arco win Best Animated Feature at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Jay Kelly win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will the Christian Democratic People’s Party (KDNP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Will Ashley Hinson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.35
Potential profit: $12.35
User PnL: -$2.34

Yes position

Will "Wicked: For Good" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.85
Potential profit: $10.85
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will Crystal Hudson be the next Speaker of the New York City Council?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.01
Potential profit: $10.01
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Aristides Teixeira qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Moonshot have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

duplicate Will Kelly Loeffler be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Shelby Campbell be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.99
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will David Thelen advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will 90 to 119 tornadoes occur in the United States in December?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.6

Under position

Nakashima vs. Fokina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Yuh-Line Niou be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.7

Cardinals position

Spread: Rams (-4.5)

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will "Ordinary - Alex Warren" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will José Cardoso qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91.8%
Current value: $9.18
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.82
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Colts position

Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.7

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.62

Yes position

Will France win Junior Eurovision 2025?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.13

Yes position

Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.11

Yes position

Will Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Outstanding Story-Rich Game in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.29

Yes position

Will the fight be won by submission?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $7.54

Yes position

Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win 1 award at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.8

Yes position

Will "Rental Family" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Nov 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.38

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ass" or "Shit" this week? (December 29 - January 4)

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.86

USC Trojans position

USC Trojans vs. Michigan Wolverines

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.7

Quinnipiac Bobcats position

Quinnipiac Bobcats vs. Pittsburgh Panthers

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Sharks position

Sharks vs. Stars

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.34

Stars position

Sharks vs. Stars

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.48

Nova Esports position

Valorant: Nova Esports vs Paper Rex (BO1)

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.3

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $4.14

Yes position

OKC breaks NBA single-season wins record?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.13

No position

Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12

No position

Will FedEx say "Shutdown / Shut Down" during earnings call?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Arne Slot out as Liverpool Manager in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.81

Yes position

Will Quentin Tarantino be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.79

Yes position

Will Trump disparage Zohran Mamdani on Friday?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.6

Yes position

Will Hinaupoko Deveze win Miss France 2026?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52

No position

Will Trump say "Brazil" this week? (November 17 – 23)

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?

No 62% 4.87 shares
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?

Yes 6% 3.62 shares
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?

No 25% 2.56 shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Yes 18% 4.76 shares
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in January 2026?

Yes 14% 3.19 shares
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?

Yes 12% 10 shares
Will "The Grinch" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)

Yes 21% 2 shares
Will Phantom launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Yes 6% 1.17 shares
Will Pete Carroll be fired by February 28?

No 25% 2.53 shares
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs

Trail Blazers 26% 1.17 shares
Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 10% 1.82 shares
USC Trojans vs. Michigan Wolverines

Michigan Wolverines 90% 1.99 shares