Polymarket Trader

0xb20a4Cd5b60d578256BFAC72e1A7184b35513EfE-1779175900886

0xb20a4cd5b60d578256bfac72e1a7184b35513efe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.79
Realized PnL: $3.53
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C or higher on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $53.69
Potential profit: $52.72
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $36.8
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.76

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $7.58
Potential payout: $28.07
Potential profit: $20.49
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$2.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.52
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.15
Multiplier: 32.26x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.59
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$0.59

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $6.32
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Paraguay vs France FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.26
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $4.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: $2.53

Yes position

Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Paraguay vs France FIFA World Cup Match?

No 19% 5.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 333.33 shares
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 69% 2.9 shares
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?

No 40% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C or higher on July 4?

Yes 0.5% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 10% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 6% 16.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 2.7% 37.04 shares
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?

No 14% 7.14 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Yes 1.9% 53.69 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?

No 35.6% 28.07 shares