Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $3.99
- Potential payout
- $78.95
- Potential profit
- $74.96
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- $0.99
Polymarket Trader
0xb20b...5d22
0xb20bb8f2be5d6c8f48b4ff100dcdd70d4e1d5d22
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $9.65
- Realized PnL
- $0.4
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.13
- Potential payout
- $5.13
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.19
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $4.15
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.8% 78.95 shares
- US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?No 93% 3.23 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 97.5% 5.13 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 96% 6.25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?Yes 29.9% 3.34 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 84% 3.57 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 94% 1.06 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 91% 2.2 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?Yes 67% 2.99 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 23% 4.35 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No 20% 5 shares
- Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?No 97% 2.06 shares