Odd position
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $467.5
- Potential payout
- $935
- Potential profit
- $467.5
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $3.74
Polymarket Trader
ArthurWood9588
0xb212b14b4e8b887fcab2fbadc9991aae11e00f8e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $962.7
- Realized PnL
- $3.16K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 50.3%
- Current value
- $386.11
- Potential payout
- $767
- Potential profit
- $380.89
- Multiplier
- 1.99x
- User PnL
- $188.22
Yes position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $104.13
- Potential payout
- $595
- Potential profit
- $490.88
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$68.42
No position
Over $160B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $18.03
- Multiplier
- 4.63x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.29
No position
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $381.6
Yes position
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $349.06
No position
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.22
Yes position
Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.91
Yes position
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $170.43
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "ICE" during the next White House Press Briefing?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.2
No position
Will Khamenei post 40-59 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.12
Yes position
Will Clear Street Group Inc. not IPO before April 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.11
Yes position
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $114.01
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 13 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $101.44
Yes position
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.01
Chicago State Cougars position
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. Chicago State Cougars
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.72
Yes position
Will AA Ponte Preta win on 2026-04-01?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $73.14
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $66.48
Yes position
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.86
Yes position
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.34
No position
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $40.05
No position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.05
Yes position
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $36.24
Yes position
Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.52
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.18
Yes position
Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.24
No position
Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 54% 193 shares
- US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 2.5Under 53.9% 488 shares
- Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 44.5% 531 shares
- Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 48.1% 531 shares
- Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?No 0.1% 272 shares
- Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?No 88% 745 shares
- Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?No 89% 745 shares
- Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?No 19% 272 shares
- Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 25.8% 767 shares
- Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No 63% 764 shares
- Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No 63% 766 shares
- Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 23% 800 shares