Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $59.97
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.97
Polymarket Trader
0xb217dedd80D2553c4de97031d1624b1e55174658-1780048556639
0xb217dedd80d2553c4de97031d1624b1e55174658
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $74.44
- Realized PnL
- $51.55
- Win rate
- 63.6%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $10.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $39.75
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $34.38
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $1.62
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $14.22
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $19.08
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $15.93
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.76
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $11.25
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $0.91
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $12.09
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$4.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $1.82
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $11.18
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $12.99
- Potential profit
- $12.02
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.75
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.3%
- Multiplier
- 5.78x
- User PnL
- $16.1
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.78
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- $8.7
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $3.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Wimbledon 2026: Will Serena and Venus Williams Win a Doubles Match?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 9?Yes 45% 6.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 9?Yes 15% 13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 9?Yes 46% 6.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 9?Yes 7% 2.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 8?Yes 8.2% 78.64 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 8?Yes 7.8% 150 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 20% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 8?Yes 3.6% 78.64 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 8?Yes 2% 59.76 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes 39.9% 49.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on July 1?No 93% 2.13 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?No 99.6% 27 shares