Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $94.46
- Potential profit
- $94.46
- User PnL
- -$12.33
Polymarket Trader
iamarichman
0xb21f78421d00168e0541c029b1f7ad6c54e8cf00
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.76
- Realized PnL
- $15.07
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69
- Potential profit
- $69
- User PnL
- -$4.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$9.66
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $6.66
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $8.78
- Potential payout
- $10.9
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $6.85
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.15
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $8
- User PnL
- -$4.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 97°F or below on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $4.65
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $2.82
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.18
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $3.33
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.67
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 2?Yes 0.9% 301.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 30?No 60% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 30?No 64% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 30?No 65% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 29?No 40% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 29?No 69% 14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 28?No 99.6% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 28?No 99.9% 13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 28?No 75% 13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 28?No 74% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 28?No 79% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 28?No 52% 13 shares