Polymarket Trader

sbel

0xb22682e5efaaa5ae3f48c3b727cf78ae57c04163

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $280.68
Realized PnL: $453.95
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 Week of May 11 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $200K
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260.82
Potential profit: $260.82
User PnL: -$35.87

No position

Will Bayern Munich win DFB-Pokal?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $171.56
Potential profit: $171.56
User PnL: -$27.13

No position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $151.9
Potential profit: $151.9
User PnL: -$26.24

No position

Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.38
Potential profit: $150.38
User PnL: -$8.38

No position

Will Harry Kane record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127.61
Potential profit: $127.61
User PnL: -$16.94

No position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $43.62
Potential payout: $107.71
Potential profit: $64.09
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $9.09

No position

Will Adam Hamawy be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.95
Potential profit: $94.95
User PnL: -$18.74

No position

Will T1 qualify for EWC 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.22
Potential profit: $92.22
User PnL: -$16.6

No position

Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.4
Potential profit: $76.4
User PnL: -$18.48

No position

Will RIKU Dining Group Ltd not IPO before June 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.18
Potential profit: $76.18
User PnL: -$8.38

No position

Will Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.87
Potential profit: $72.87
User PnL: -$8.38

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.78
Potential profit: $63.78
User PnL: -$29.19

No position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.66
Potential profit: $48.66
User PnL: -$41.52

No position

Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.61
Potential profit: $44.61
User PnL: -$10.59

No position

Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $30.55
Potential payout: $43.96
Potential profit: $13.41
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$1.1

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 67.3%
Current value: $28.72
Potential payout: $42.71
Potential profit: $13.99
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$1.69

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $24.04
Potential payout: $41.09
Potential profit: $17.05
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$6.37

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $33.08
Potential payout: $40.37
Potential profit: $7.29
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $2.36

No position

Will England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $30.21
Potential payout: $40.01
Potential profit: $9.8
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.33
Potential profit: $39.33
User PnL: -$13.95

No position

Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $29.83
Potential payout: $38.99
Potential profit: $9.16
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.58

No position

Will Colombia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $30.41
Potential payout: $38.49
Potential profit: $8.08
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $30.22
Potential payout: $38.49
Potential profit: $8.28
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.77

No position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.3

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.72

No position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.36

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.1

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.91

No position

Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.78

No position

Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.36

No position

Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.39

No position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.16

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.21

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.03

No position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.16

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.78

No position

Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.76

No position

Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.19

No position

Will Ryan Busse be the Democratic nominee for MT-01?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.12

No position

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

No position

Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.97

No position

Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.39

No position

Will the People Power Party win 3 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96

No position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15-20%?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.86

No position

Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-05-15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will United States win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 96.9% 31.38 shares
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

No 96.9% 11.31 shares
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?

No 96% 11.42 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

No 66% 16.61 shares
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

No 79% 13.87 shares
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 60% 18.27 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 81% 13.53 shares
Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

No 64% 17.13 shares
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

No 60% 18.27 shares
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?

No 96.6% 11.35 shares
Will Australia be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?

No 53% 20.68 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?

No 91% 12.04 shares