Polymarket Trader

ShiningCap

0xb2277c2d3c80a9948eac774b1a55ca6dbd5277a3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $667.31
Realized PnL: $138.14
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $307.73
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $1.27K
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$16.08

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $220.46
Potential payout: $639.21
Potential profit: $418.75
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$13.55

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $139.11
Potential payout: $286.82
Potential profit: $147.71
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $14.85

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.13
Potential profit: $65.13
User PnL: -$14.98

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$10

Colombia position

Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.65
Potential profit: $53.65
User PnL: -$33.12

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.72
Potential profit: $47.72
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.22
Potential profit: $47.22
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.68
Potential profit: $32.68
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.41
Potential profit: $17.41
User PnL: -$12.19

Yes position

Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Luis Díaz: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

England position

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.33

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.02

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.88

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.67

Yes position

Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.66

Yes position

Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.56

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.53

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.36

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.45

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 81.5%
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $5.41

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.1

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.43

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $4.41

Yes position

Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.04

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,700 on the final trading day of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.63

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.63

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,800 on the final trading day of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.61

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance

Colombia 62% 39.52 shares
Luis Díaz: 1+ goals

Yes 28% 14.29 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Argentina 99.9% 29.06 shares
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance

Colombia 61% 14.13 shares
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

Argentina 86% 29.07 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 72% 34.24 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 73% 34.25 shares
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 16% 62.5 shares
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

England 51% 33.33 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score

Yes 61% 10.66 shares
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score

Yes 36% 16.67 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 15.6% 737.38 shares