N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $599.4
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$176.4
Polymarket Trader
BetterDaysToCome
0xb23e88a3e729951c1992b361435a5c410fcf829a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.43K
- Realized PnL
- $156.84
- Win rate
- 52.9%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $477.49
- Potential payout
- $524.72
- Potential profit
- $47.22
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $10.49
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $71.64
- Potential payout
- $434.21
- Potential profit
- $362.56
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$145.43
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $342.47
- Potential payout
- $349.99
- Potential profit
- $7.52
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $27.33
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $256.65
- Potential payout
- $300.18
- Potential profit
- $43.53
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $28.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $271.5
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $198
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $102
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$22
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.19
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$31.94
Colombia position
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $56.62
- Potential payout
- $74.99
- Potential profit
- $18.37
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $3.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.8
France position
Spread: France (-1.5)
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.5
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.75
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.57
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $20.1
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $7.75
Vexa position
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Vexa (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.25
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.53
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Panama position
Spread: England (-2.5)
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- -$3.32
N
No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$9.31
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 98% 499.98 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 32.4% 34.21 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Yes 99.9% 172.96 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Yes 94% 162.56 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-27?Yes 99.1% 115.99 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?Yes 85% 30 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?No 88.9% 164.18 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No 89% 300 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?No 89% 224.72 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?No 12% 100 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?Yes 77% 29.6 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?No 18% 36 shares