Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.38K
- Potential profit
- $20.38K
- User PnL
- -$140.95
Polymarket Trader
0xB2539c6E857372D90BC648B59498Cb6e5eC42D38-1763200511015
0xb2539c6e857372d90bc648b59498cb6e5ec42d38
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $982.26
- Realized PnL
- $262.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $268.9
- Potential payout
- $322.04
- Potential profit
- $53.14
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $9.9
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $125.85
- Potential payout
- $204.63
- Potential profit
- $78.78
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $2.85
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: July
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $98.77
- Potential payout
- $123.46
- Potential profit
- $24.69
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$1.23
No position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.11
- Potential profit
- $108.11
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $29.07
- Potential payout
- $102.04
- Potential profit
- $72.97
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$20.93
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $63.91
- Potential payout
- $64.01
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $5.91
N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $8.92
- Potential payout
- $63.69
- Potential profit
- $54.78
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $52.77
- Potential payout
- $61
- Potential profit
- $8.24
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $4.77
No position
Ángela Aguilar & Christian Nodal split in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $33.75
- Potential payout
- $52.33
- Potential profit
- $18.58
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$5.25
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $51.04
- Potential payout
- $51.07
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $1.04
Yes position
Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.22
- Potential profit
- $47.22
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $33.52
- Potential payout
- $46.24
- Potential profit
- $12.72
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $3.52
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $39.58
- Potential payout
- $45.49
- Potential profit
- $5.91
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $3.58
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $19.83
- Potential payout
- $38.51
- Potential profit
- $18.68
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $30.74
- Potential payout
- $35.95
- Potential profit
- $5.21
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $27.46
- Potential payout
- $33.08
- Potential profit
- $5.62
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $26.98
- Potential payout
- $29.81
- Potential profit
- $2.83
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $2.66
- Potential payout
- $28.18
- Potential profit
- $25.52
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- -$17.34
No position
Obama divorce before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $24.86
- Potential payout
- $26.03
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.86
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $9.1
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $16.54
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $14.28
- Potential payout
- $24.84
- Potential profit
- $10.56
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $4.28
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.39
- Potential profit
- $22.39
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.6%
- Current value
- $20.27
- Potential payout
- $21.91
- Potential profit
- $1.63
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $107.77
No position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $47.68
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.1
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.21
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.45
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.19
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $5.04
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.52
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.27
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91
No position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.67
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54
No position
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.12
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $2.08
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99
No position
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $1.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
Yes position
Will eToro (ETOR) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?No 95.6% 8.37 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No 83% 48.19 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes 58% 17.24 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 85% 9.41 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 89% 10.11 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?No 39% 25.64 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by July 31, 2026?No 62% 8.06 shares
- AWS service disrupted by June 30?No 95.3% 1.75 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 15.7% 63.69 shares
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic 78% 12.82 shares
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No 71% 5.63 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 77m?Yes 18% 5.56 shares