Yes position
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $12.69
- Potential payout
- $769.23
- Potential profit
- $756.54
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $2.69
Polymarket Trader
BleatingWeasel
0xb2646a7dce9a70a3ae0e89f7fbf6849ca0caeb03
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $185.76
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of June 15 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $8.11
- Potential payout
- $600.42
- Potential profit
- $592.31
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$21.89
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $588.24
- Potential profit
- $588.24
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $10.79
- Potential payout
- $526.32
- Potential profit
- $515.53
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500.75
- Potential profit
- $500.75
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $454.55
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of June 15 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $52.8
- Potential payout
- $407.74
- Potential profit
- $354.94
- Multiplier
- 7.72x
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $311.86
- Potential profit
- $311.86
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $14.87
- Potential payout
- $267.86
- Potential profit
- $252.99
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $10.39
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $252.76
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $7.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $242.13
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$2.13
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $8.44
- Potential payout
- $187.5
- Potential profit
- $179.06
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$6.56
Yes position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $161.57
- Potential profit
- $161.57
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.17
- Potential profit
- $154.17
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $11.4
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $138.6
- Multiplier
- 13.16x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $4.36
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $138.5
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$5.64
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $10.06
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $114.94
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.38
- Potential profit
- $115.38
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $9.44
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $101.67
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $9.63
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $96.76
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Current value
- $14.91
- Potential payout
- $92.02
- Potential profit
- $77.12
- Multiplier
- 6.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 Week of June 15 2026?Yes 19.8% 50.6 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of June 15 2026?Yes 5% 600.42 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of June 15 2026?Yes 12.3% 407.74 shares
- Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Yes 9% 111.11 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 7% 142.86 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 16.3% 92.02 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 9.4% 106.38 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 5.6% 267.86 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes 8% 187.5 shares
- Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes 29% 34.48 shares
- Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes 27% 37.04 shares
- Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?Yes 8% 125 shares