No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $6.05K
- Potential payout
- $7.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $1.24K
Polymarket Trader
NiceDuckBro
0xb26cea29491d1e6d48c69275e290bcc05be10eb0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.37K
- Realized PnL
- $34.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $4.63K
- Potential payout
- $5.26K
- Potential profit
- $631.02
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.9%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $3.34K
- Potential profit
- $2.21K
- Multiplier
- 2.95x
- User PnL
- $131.28
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $2.12K
- Potential payout
- $3.09K
- Potential profit
- $973.39
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $595.47
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $582.73
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$32.06
Yes position
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $319.45
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$188.97
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $1.18K
- Potential payout
- $1.36K
- Potential profit
- $176.81
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $151.34
Yes position
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $117.9
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$127.71
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $462
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $638
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $85.51
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $145.9
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $934.83
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$141.41
N
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $947.24
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $71.3
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $248.88
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $235
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $765
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$185
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $571.53
- Potential payout
- $893.02
- Potential profit
- $321.49
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $21.86
Yes position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $269.5
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $430.5
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$89.6
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $468.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $31.75
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $18.25
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $170.63
- Potential payout
- $375
- Potential profit
- $204.38
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$76.64
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $338.81
- Potential payout
- $340
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- User PnL
- $128.03
Yes position
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $124.5
- Potential payout
- $332.01
- Potential profit
- $207.51
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $3.97
Yes position
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $112.89
- Potential payout
- $248.1
- Potential profit
- $135.21
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $11.16
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $174.03
- Potential payout
- $204.74
- Potential profit
- $30.71
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $8.19
No position
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $90.16
- Potential payout
- $193.89
- Potential profit
- $103.73
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $7.19
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $85.38
- Potential payout
- $116.17
- Potential profit
- $30.79
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $34
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $66
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $6.55
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $93.44
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- -$28.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5K
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24K
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94K
Yes position
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Yes position
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $987.16
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $975.72
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $937.52
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $879.28
No position
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $812.98
Yes position
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $759.87
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $758.8
No position
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $758.34
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $748.29
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $735.97
No position
Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by October 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $648.72
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $602.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 81% 204.74 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 77% 50 shares
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 77% 100 shares
- Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No 42.8% 193.89 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 62% 340 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 0.1% 200 shares
- Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?Yes 20% 4 shares
- Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?Yes 20% 15 shares
- Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?Yes 19.4% 215 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 68.8% 555.96 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 70% 262.58 shares
- Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?Yes 22.9% 110.1 shares