Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $2.27K
- Potential payout
- $9.51K
- Potential profit
- $7.24K
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- -$1.15K
Polymarket Trader
twf369
0xb28576a4e0a38e3ba58c0bb50320c2ea489668d3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.17K
- Realized PnL
- $12.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $5.06K
- Potential payout
- $5.32K
- Potential profit
- $260.64
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $58.52
Bosnia and Herzegovina position
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.44K
- Potential profit
- $4.44K
- User PnL
- -$4K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.3%
- Current value
- $3.17K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $828
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$532
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.62K
- Potential payout
- $3.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.81
- User PnL
- $122.63
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.2%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $169.37
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$11.77
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $15.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $984.5
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$18.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $755.55
- Potential profit
- $755.55
- User PnL
- -$600
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $519
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $81
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $57
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $55.88
- Potential payout
- $588.24
- Potential profit
- $532.35
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$44.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $480.69
- Potential profit
- $480.69
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $350.68
- Potential payout
- $405.41
- Potential profit
- $54.73
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $50.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $355.2
- Potential profit
- $355.2
- User PnL
- -$200
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $322.54
- Potential profit
- $322.54
- User PnL
- -$200
Jordan position
Spread: Austria (-1.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $232.49
- Potential profit
- $232.49
- User PnL
- -$213.89
Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $188.68
- Potential profit
- $188.68
- User PnL
- -$100
Over position
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 6.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.41
- Potential profit
- $156.41
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.25
- Potential profit
- $156.25
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $113.97
- Potential payout
- $114.94
- Potential profit
- $0.98
- User PnL
- $13.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $759.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $633.32
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $619.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $575
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $513.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $461.76
Camilo Ugo Carabelli position
Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $401.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.2
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.33
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $267.28
Golden Knights position
Golden Knights vs. Utah
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.15
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETDown 74% 135.13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETUp 80.8% 123.69 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETUp 71.7% 139.42 shares
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 0.5Under 84.1% 2,376.82 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETUp 88.8% 562.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETDown 7% 201.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETDown 49.6% 201.64 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETUp 96.1% 104.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETUp 77% 129.87 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETUp 87% 114.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETUp 57.3% 174.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETUp 62% 161.29 shares