No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $201.12
- Potential payout
- $201.22
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $28.07
Polymarket Trader
Amnyam228
0xb2870d7fa299718896b7ca4ef40a02e4c10cd991
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $201.12
- Realized PnL
- -$218.17
- Win rate
- 41.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.08
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.66
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.71
Y
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $14.02
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.45
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.69
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.45
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.1%
- Multiplier
- 8.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.4
No position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$4.34
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.61
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$11.34
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$84.33
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$275.34
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 86% 201.22 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes 46% 378 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes 49% 378 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 30% 370 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes 98.8% 109 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes 33% 108.4 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes 37% 108.4 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 13% 756.29 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 70% 215 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 67% 215 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 75.7% 69.6 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 78% 92.32 shares