Yes position
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.9%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $2.26
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Polymarket Trader
0xb294...a90c
0xb29484920f6a499157327c1473e7ea8ffd1fa90c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $24.2
- Realized PnL
- $13.62
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $2.19
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $1.96
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Ends Oct 24, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $0.91
- Potential payout
- $1.92
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $1.92
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $1.89
- Potential profit
- $1.18
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.85
- Potential profit
- $0.81
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Anthropic + OpenAI position
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $1.85
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $1.85
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $1.85
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $1.79
- Potential profit
- $1.78
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
No position
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $1.75
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $1.67
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $0.14
N
No position
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $0.46
- Potential payout
- $1.64
- Potential profit
- $1.18
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.12
- Potential payout
- $1.59
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
No position
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $1.58
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $1.56
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $1.54
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.7%
- Current value
- $1.11
- Potential payout
- $1.52
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $0.87
- Potential payout
- $1.52
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.52
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Y
Yes position
Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $0.59
- Potential payout
- $1.45
- Potential profit
- $0.86
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Justin Gaethje position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Fnatic position
Rainbow Six Siege: Fnatic vs Heretics (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Y
Yes position
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Rebeka Masarova position
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Rebeka Masarova vs Mia Pohankova
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 Week of June 15 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
N
No position
Argentina vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $390 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Thomas Faurel position
Royan: Ognjen Milic vs Thomas Faurel
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Colton Smith position
Dublin: Clement Chidekh vs Colton Smith
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
N
No position
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Max Holloway position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Miami Marlins position
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 Week of June 29 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
N
No position
Will Senegal be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Y
Yes position
Will Qatar be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Team Nemesis position
Dota 2: Hokori vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic + OpenAI 54% 1.85 shares
- Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?No 60% 1.67 shares
- Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes 52% 1.92 shares
- Iran leadership change by July 31?No 97.3% 1.03 shares
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?No 98.7% 1.01 shares
- Argentina vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?No 61% 1.64 shares
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?Yes 90.1% 1.11 shares
- Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?No 90% 1.11 shares
- Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?No 94% 1.06 shares
- Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?No 94% 1.06 shares
- President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Yes 93% 1.08 shares
- Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?No 95% 1.05 shares