Polymarket Trader

OKEXFIGHT02

0xb2a67255a0c54cb27ddeb42290d9fca4f069a9c4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $43.24
Realized PnL: $67.35
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

OpenSea airdrop before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $156.25
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $24.38
Potential payout: $37.23
Potential profit: $12.84
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $5.12
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $6.65
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $3.12

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $4.69
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $4.24
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$0.31

$140 position

Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $4.68
Multiplier: 4.56x
User PnL: -$1.68

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $5.03
Potential payout: $5.36
Potential profit: $0.33
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.29
Potential profit: $4.29
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $2.22
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $1.46
Potential profit: $1.22
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $1.09
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 19?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $1.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 16?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $1.23
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 24.1%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $1.21
Potential profit: $0.92
Multiplier: 4.15x
User PnL: -$0.71

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $1.19
Potential profit: $0.04
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12
Potential profit: $1.12
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $1.11
Potential profit: $1.08
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $1.09
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 4?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06
Potential profit: $1.06
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04
Potential profit: $1.04
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 4?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04
Potential profit: $1.04
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.01

Yes position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.54

Yes position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 8?

Ends Nov 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 29?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Infinex FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 20?

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 1?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Abstract launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on October 25?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 17?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 25?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 29?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Up position

Solana Up or Down on October 25?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Up position

XRP Up or Down on October 25?

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 83% 6.02 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 69% 7.25 shares
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

No 93.2% 5.36 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 68% 14.71 shares
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Yes 56% 8.93 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 64% 7.81 shares
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 89% 5.62 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 67% 7.46 shares
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 70% 4.29 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 11.76 shares
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 68% 7.35 shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 9?

Yes 90% 2.22 shares