Polymarket Trader

0xb2a966faaB90100fC6b96ed399566C8E105225d5-1759293099891

0xb2a966faab90100fc6b96ed399566c8e105225d5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.12K
Realized PnL: $759.41
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $563.02
Potential payout: $595.78
Potential profit: $32.77
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $68.52

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $9.74
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $516.58
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$0.26

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.4%
Current value: $305.68
Potential payout: $411.14
Potential profit: $105.46
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $5.68

No position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $101.11
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $121.11
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $75.98
Potential payout: $89.39
Potential profit: $13.41
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$4.02

Sinner position

Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.02
Potential profit: $84.02
User PnL: -$55

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.79
Potential profit: $74.79
User PnL: -$30.51

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.6%
Current value: $15.31
Potential payout: $67.87
Potential profit: $52.57
Multiplier: 4.43x
User PnL: -$14.69

Up position

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.89
Potential profit: $54.89
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.2
Potential profit: $48.2
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $28.3
Potential payout: $46.44
Potential profit: $18.13
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$1.7

Shelton position

Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Shelton (+2.5)

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.44
Potential profit: $46.44
User PnL: -$21.5

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.3%
Current value: $7.86
Potential payout: $40.82
Potential profit: $32.96
Multiplier: 5.19x
User PnL: -$0.14

Thunder position

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will NVIDIA reach $212 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.64
Potential profit: $37.64
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump say "Congo" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.89
Potential profit: $33.89
User PnL: -$15

Sinner position

Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.62
Potential profit: $33.62
User PnL: -$19.5

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $9.56
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $19.01
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: $1.56

No position

Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $27.67
Potential profit: $27.57
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$11.9

Musetti position

Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$10

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.39
Potential profit: $22.39
User PnL: -$15

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.29

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.62

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 2-8?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.63

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.11

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.26

No position

Will NVIDIA reach $200 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.37

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $35.25

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.77

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 February 23-March 1?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.83

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.97

No position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.85

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.45

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.62

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.33

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $16.57

No position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.93

No position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.99

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.93

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.7

United States position

Spread: United States (-1.5)

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.85

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.37

Alcaraz position

Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.77

No position

US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.73

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Egypt? AND Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Morocco? AND Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Ghana? AND Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?

57.8% 25.64 shares
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Austria?

No 99.9% 11.49 shares
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Austria?

No 64% 7.81 shares
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Croatia 67.7% 29.52 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.9% 526.32 shares
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Austria? AND Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Egypt? AND Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Algeria? AND Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?

59.4% 13.29 shares
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Austria?

No 87% 11.49 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5

Under 53% 5.66 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?

No 73% 411.14 shares
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Senegal? AND Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?

78.4% 12.67 shares
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)

Senegal 77% 12.82 shares
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

DR Congo 55% 3.64 shares