Polymarket Trader

Kaydenb3

0xb2ac5082022ac39a2f380aa5f3e6bd69fce5ba11

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $203.44
Realized PnL: $3.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $6.19
Potential payout: $375
Potential profit: $368.81
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$2.81

Yes position

Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$13.35

No position

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $150.49
Potential payout: $207.58
Potential profit: $57.08
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $68.92

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.7
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $13.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $86.05
Multiplier: 7.17x
User PnL: -$2.05

No position

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $11.93
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $33.08
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$1.57

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $4.13
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $20.88
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$4.88

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $5.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $14.1
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.5
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$1.68

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.02
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Another Elon baby by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.34

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $785.41

Yes position

Will the Liberal Party win by 1–24 seats?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $316.12

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $190.86

Yes position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $176.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176

No position

US recession in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.71

Yes position

Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.54

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.5

Yes position

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.78

No position

Will Taylor Swift say "Tour" 2+ times during Tonight Show on October 6?

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.05

Yes position

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.25

No position

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.7

No position

Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.66

No position

Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.73

No position

Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.5

No position

Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.25

No position

Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.69

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.9

No position

Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.4

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $26

No position

Will iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Yes 5.9% 50 shares
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 219.97 shares
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?

Yes 7.9% 100 shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 14% 100 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?

No 20% 2.63 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?

No 38% 2.63 shares
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Yes 54% 25 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Yes 4.4% 50 shares
Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?

No 2% 100 shares
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B

Spirit 67.2% 5.95 shares
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs GAMEHARMONY (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #3 Group A

GAMEHARMONY 7% 28.57 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 32% 15 shares