Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.2%
- Current value
- $488.25
- Potential payout
- $839.64
- Potential profit
- $351.39
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Polymarket Trader
6Dr54AVsamtbP39ZzC
0xb2b0b204a5078247011c3b0ef2f3b6ddfff2ba91
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.07K
- Realized PnL
- -$4.96
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 31.2%
- Current value
- $187.1
- Potential payout
- $600.64
- Potential profit
- $413.54
- Multiplier
- 3.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $176.62
- Potential payout
- $330.43
- Potential profit
- $153.82
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$13.38
No position
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $218.47
- Potential payout
- $234.92
- Potential profit
- $16.44
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $33.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 18–25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.29
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.57
No position
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.33
No position
Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.35
No position
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.81
Yes position
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$59.44
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.2%
- Multiplier
- 4.96x
- User PnL
- -$73.04
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$96.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 31.2% 600.64 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 57.5% 330.43 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 58.2% 515.46 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 58.2% 324.18 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 19.8% 1,007.74 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 38.9% 248.95 shares
- Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?No 78.7% 234.92 shares
- Another US military action against Iran before 2026?Yes 0.2% 272.72 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 27% 1,007.74 shares
- Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No 85.6% 95.81 shares
- Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?No 83.9% 95.35 shares
- Another US military action against Iran before 2026?Yes 22% 272.73 shares