Polymarket Trader

0xb2b4...512d

0xb2b4ec88c02de44d6ab61eb6c4141fe8170e512d

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $220.84
Realized PnL: $5.14K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $49.86
Potential payout: $717.47
Potential profit: $667.6
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$20.14

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $12.04
Potential payout: $408.27
Potential profit: $396.23
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$2.96

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Current value: $8.05
Potential payout: $32.19
Potential profit: $24.14
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $9.53
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $21.72
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $14.87
Potential payout: $22.36
Potential profit: $7.49
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $7.98
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $11.25
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$2.02

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $14.17
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $4.35
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $4.17

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $6.93
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $10.61
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$3.07

Yes position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $7.22
Potential payout: $15.87
Potential profit: $8.65
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$2.78

Yes position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $11.85
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $3.54
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $12.72
Potential payout: $15.05
Potential profit: $2.33
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.7
Potential payout: $14.71
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $4.7

Yes position

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $9.2
Potential payout: $14.49
Potential profit: $5.29
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $13.41
Potential payout: $14.49
Potential profit: $1.09
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $3.41

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $9.21
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $5.07
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $9.79
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $4.1
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $9.3
Potential payout: $12.66
Potential profit: $3.35
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$0.7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $377.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $361.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $294.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.17

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

Down 37% 7.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Down 30% 7.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Down 28% 7.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Down 10% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Down 10% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Down 14% 7.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Down 14% 7.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Down 22% 7.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Up 61% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Up 36% 34.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Up 37% 14.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Up 36% 14.96 shares