Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $773.58
- Potential payout
- $46.88K
- Potential profit
- $46.11K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$539.39
Polymarket Trader
WhatTheBet
0xb2bf75d18519369f20c64e995d6670fce70cf5ad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.16K
- Realized PnL
- $4.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $337.89
- Potential payout
- $3.98K
- Potential profit
- $3.64K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $4.54
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $37.8
- Potential payout
- $3.6K
- Potential profit
- $3.56K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$5.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.14K
- Potential profit
- $3.14K
- User PnL
- -$15.41
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.3K
- User PnL
- -$21.44
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$46.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.97
- Potential profit
- $999.97
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $835.58
- Potential profit
- $835.58
- User PnL
- -$3.89
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $820.53
- Potential profit
- $820.53
- User PnL
- -$24.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$31.62
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $593.3
- Potential profit
- $593.3
- User PnL
- -$6.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $590.16
- Potential profit
- $590.16
- User PnL
- -$2.89
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $516.77
- Potential profit
- $516.77
- User PnL
- -$20.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $507.82
- Potential profit
- $507.82
- User PnL
- -$2.53
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $435.28
- Potential profit
- $435.28
- User PnL
- -$16.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $345
- Potential profit
- $345
- User PnL
- -$1.66
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $323.55
- Potential profit
- $323.55
- User PnL
- -$12.17
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $171.87
- Potential profit
- $171.87
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.04
- Potential profit
- $156.04
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $8.26
- Potential payout
- $141.23
- Potential profit
- $132.97
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$6.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $465.18
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $326.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C or higher on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.05
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $170.52
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $163.32
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $163.19
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 16?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.08
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $107.27
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.15
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $95.39
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.61
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $82.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.92
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.11
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53.7
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.95
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1.2% 600 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1.5% 200 shares
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1.2% 3,000 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?Yes 99.9% 46.33 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 2.4% 1,974.8 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?Yes 23.2% 53.33 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in May 2026?Yes 21.2% 13.18 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?Yes 22.5% 35.42 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in May 2026?Yes 13.6% 92.3 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?Yes 2.1% 246.38 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in May 2026?Yes 20.3% 16.88 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?Yes 18.3% 36.89 shares