bluetens27

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $766.67
Potential profit: $764.75
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.08

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.91
Potential payout: $762.98
Potential profit: $761.08
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$10.18

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.01
Potential payout: $575
Potential profit: $572.99
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$2.84

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 40.0 on June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $4.11
Potential payout: $316.32
Potential profit: $312.21
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: $3.48

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $257.75
Potential profit: $257.75
User PnL: -$6.34

No position

Will Iran Play in the World Cup?

Ends Aug 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $255.01
Potential profit: $255.01
User PnL: -$12.57

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $14.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $235.63
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $4.38

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.64
Potential payout: $234.84
Potential profit: $233.19
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$2.15

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $2.36
Potential payout: $224.99
Potential profit: $222.63
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 40.0 on June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $206.02
Potential profit: $206.02
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.94
Potential profit: $192.94
User PnL: -$15.12

No position

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Ends Jan 20, 2029

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $67.5
Potential payout: $192.87
Potential profit: $125.36
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: -$24.4

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164.98
Potential profit: $164.98
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $5.79
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $127.55
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: $1.89

Yes position

Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + NZF + Maori?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $131.65
Potential profit: $130
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $1.25

No position

Will G2 Esports Make a Roster Change before September?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $119.58
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.98

Meta position

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Meta - higher valuation on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $118.62
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$4.42

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 74.3%
Current value: $88.95
Potential payout: $119.79
Potential profit: $30.85
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $86.16

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.2%
Current value: $15.01
Potential payout: $105.42
Potential profit: $90.41
Multiplier: 7.02x
User PnL: -$2.45

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.98
Potential profit: $104.98
User PnL: -$3.6

No position

Will Enzo Maresca be the next manager of Manchester City FC?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.4
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$1.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $303.89

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.55

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.03

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.47

No position

Will MINHxDYNASTY win the Legend Trade Series?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.55

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $89.93

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.58

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.05

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54.32

Yes position

Will Jim Parillo win the Legend Trade Series?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.67

Yes position

Will Jadoodoo win the Legend Trade Series?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.48

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.25

Yes position

Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.69

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.63

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.78

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.72

Yes position

Will any bracket survive the first round of the NCAA tournament?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.8

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.9

No position

Will Jadoodoo win the Legend Trade Series?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.4

Yes position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.23

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.09

Yes position

Will MINHxDYNASTY win the Legend Trade Series?