Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$150
Polymarket Trader
0xB2c98617b08928b03599A7e08Ecd27cB216A263C-1774316825844
0xb2c98617b08928b03599a7e08ecd27cb216a263c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $159
- Realized PnL
- $1.73K
- Win rate
- 80%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $159
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $441
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $57
Yes position
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$111
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.93
- Potential profit
- $499.93
- User PnL
- -$105.48
Yes position
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$44
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Lakers
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.8
- Potential profit
- $9.8
- User PnL
- -$3.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $910
Yes position
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $809.98
Yes position
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 17% 600 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 21.1% 50 shares
- Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?Yes 10% 531.32 shares
- Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?Yes 22% 9.13 shares
- Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?Yes 5% 258.19 shares
- Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?Yes 6% 300 shares
- Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?Yes 31% 300 shares
- Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?Yes 85% 100 shares
- Rockets vs. LakersRockets 33% 9.6 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 0.1% 10,000 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 9% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes 15% 1,000 shares