Polymarket Trader

ElarionStar

0xb2dda75422149bd7df5142182d0de89f5bac2fc9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.42
Realized PnL: $76.78
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Loma Lookboonmee position

UFC Fight Night: Loma Lookboonmee vs. Jaqueline Amorim (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $186
Potential profit: $186
User PnL: -$92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.13
Potential profit: $13.13
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.49
Potential profit: $11.49
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or higher on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.3
Potential profit: $11.3
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.91
Potential profit: $10.91
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.81
Potential profit: $10.81
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.11
Potential payout: $10.11
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.11

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.98
Potential profit: $6.98
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $2.27
Potential payout: $5.97
Potential profit: $3.7
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$1.73

No position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $5.13
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $3.28
Potential profit: $3.24
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$1.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Timberwolves position

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.75

Pistons position

Spread: Pistons (-8.5)

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.4

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.51

Flyers position

Penguins vs. Flyers

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.76

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will XRP reach $2.80 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 89% 10.11 shares
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 61% 3.28 shares
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

Yes 67% 5.97 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 89% 5.62 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

No 39% 5.13 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 87% 11.49 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

No 36% 5.56 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

No 43% 6.98 shares
UFC Fight Night: Loma Lookboonmee vs. Jaqueline Amorim (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

Loma Lookboonmee 49.5% 186 shares
Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Cavaliers 37% 13.51 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 17?

Yes 17.5% 11.4 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or higher on May 17?

Yes 8.8% 11.3 shares