No position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300K
- Potential profit
- $300K
- User PnL
- -$300
Polymarket Trader
happydog
0xb2e140abd9ebe6085021adb81d7cbfe89810cf05
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $99.38
- Realized PnL
- -$656.18
- Win rate
- 11.1%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $97.85
- Potential payout
- $674.83
- Potential profit
- $576.98
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$75.2
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $436.71
- Potential profit
- $435.18
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$8.47
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $346.2
- Potential profit
- $346.2
- User PnL
- -$23.56
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $271.43
- Potential profit
- $271.43
- User PnL
- -$38
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $237.31
- Potential profit
- $237.31
- User PnL
- -$0.95
No position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.6
- Potential profit
- $15.6
- User PnL
- -$6.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.9
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.56
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.27
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$9.71
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.97
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.53
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$31.87
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$62.52
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$72
No position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$141.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$243.28
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$264.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes 14% 271.43 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?Yes 2.1% 144.44 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?Yes 6% 500 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?Yes 1.5% 388.57 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?Yes 20% 500 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?Yes 6.8% 734.77 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 9% 666.67 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?Yes 9% 144.44 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes 0.4% 237.31 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 2.3% 436.71 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 15% 666.67 shares
- Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?Yes 25.6% 674.83 shares