Polymarket Trader

gabrielBTC

@gabrielliving3

0xb2e3bbaf02d1e93ec131b4319dc65a62a14f6bef

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $42.82
Realized PnL: $240.3
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $1.36
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $141.5
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $0.36

Yes position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.63
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.91

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $9.39
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $8.16
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $10.24
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $1.53
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $2.24

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $10.14
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$0.37

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.05
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$2.94

Yes position

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $7.23
Potential payout: $10.78
Potential profit: $3.56
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $1.73

Yes position

Will Trump say "Birthday" during June 24 Rally?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $5.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.85
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 31.9%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $9.9
Potential profit: $6.74
Multiplier: 3.14x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $4.54
Potential payout: $7.89
Potential profit: $3.36
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $1.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.82

Pistons position

Timberwolves vs. Pistons

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.03

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Dooho Choi position

UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.8

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 15-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.63

No position

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.87

Édgar Cháirez position

UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.68

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 17?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.65

Nemiga position

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 57% 17.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Down 86% 1.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Down 59% 1.69 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Up 52% 2.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Up 49% 2.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Down 22% 4.55 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Down 97% 1.44 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Down 69% 1.45 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.7% 142.86 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Up 96% 5.21 shares
Will Trump say "Birthday" during June 24 Rally?

Yes 50% 10 shares
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Spirit 58% 17.24 shares