Lolacainarb

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $100.9
Potential payout: $102.18
Potential profit: $1.28
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 3?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $35.36
Potential profit: $35.34
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 4?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $3.14
Potential payout: $33.07
Potential profit: $29.93
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 4?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $6.77
Potential payout: $31.5
Potential profit: $24.73
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $1.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 5?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $4.34
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $21.97
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 5?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.9
Potential payout: $25.2
Potential profit: $22.3
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$2.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 3?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $22.11
Potential profit: $22.1
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$21.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 3?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20.23
Potential profit: $20.22
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 4?

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $4.64
Potential payout: $15.47
Potential profit: $10.83
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 4?

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $8.28
Potential payout: $15.47
Potential profit: $7.19
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 4?

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $6.26
Potential payout: $14.4
Potential profit: $8.14
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 5?

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $3.51
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $9.49
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on July 5?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $9.96
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 4?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $5.55
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0.45
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 3?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 5?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $4.62
Potential payout: $5.11
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 4?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $3.78
Potential payout: $5.07
Potential profit: $1.29
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 104°F or higher on July 5?

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $4.91
Potential payout: $5.06
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on July 5?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $4.82
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 5?

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $4.75
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $0.3
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on July 4?

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 5?

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $4.76
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $0.29
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on July 4?

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $4.8
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on July 5?

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

BNB Up or Down - April 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.01

Up position

XRP Up or Down - March 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.43

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.12

Up position

XRP Up or Down - April 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.3

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 3, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.08

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.05

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.02

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Down position

Solana Up or Down - April 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.96

Up position

XRP Up or Down - April 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.72

Up position

Solana Up or Down - April 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.02

Down position

BNB Up or Down - April 17, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.39

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.69

Down position

BNB Up or Down - April 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 3?