No position
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $273.31
- Potential payout
- $362
- Potential profit
- $88.69
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $63.35
Polymarket Trader
coinexchange
0xb2eb14d237e6a684c91183a28192128c5a935751
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $357.59
- Realized PnL
- $7.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $83.6
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $19.85
Yes position
Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Powell say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" 7+ times during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $928.55
Yes position
Will "Elon" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $643.97
UNCW Seahawks position
UNCW Seahawks vs. Charleston Cougars
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $635.12
Yes position
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $524.18
Yes position
Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $502.24
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 10, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $438.09
Under position
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $378.84
Yes position
Will "Zelenskyy" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $310.46
No position
Will two people dissent the March Fed decision?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.4
Under position
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.03
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.6
Yes position
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.58
Yes position
Will Christian Menefee win the Texas House special election runoff by 15% or more?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.92
No position
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.77
Yes position
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.8
Yes position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.45
Yes position
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $183.38
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.41
No position
Will Me Porto Bonito be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.71
Yes position
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $168.85
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 11, 8PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.5
Yes position
Will Trump say "Fleet" this week? (March 1)
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $155.43
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $122.28
Yes position
Will SpaceX have 12 or more launches in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?No 37% 599 shares
- OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yes 36% 50 shares
- Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?No 77% 157 shares
- Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?No 77% 198 shares
- Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?No 78% 276 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No 27% 762 shares
- Will Modena FC 2018 win on 2026-03-17?No 64.1% 265 shares
- Will Modena FC 2018 win on 2026-03-17?No 64.1% 585 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 87% 519 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 87% 519 shares
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins 49% 41 shares
- Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30?No 12.8% 1,432 shares