Polymarket Trader

0x0d5Ed30C586BB273fc8090610C9fb61C802F0234-1766469127506

0xb2f51ca34e346397bacefeee952d1c35fa4bc37c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $818.34
Realized PnL: $102.1
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $278.88
Potential profit: $278.88
User PnL: -$166.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $198.04
Potential profit: $198.04
User PnL: -$194.74

No position

Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 89.3%
Current value: $113.51
Potential payout: $127.11
Potential profit: $13.6
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$13.47

No position

Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $126.79
Potential payout: $127.11
Potential profit: $0.32
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $121.89
Potential payout: $127.11
Potential profit: $5.21
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$5.08

No position

Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $122.47
Potential payout: $127.11
Potential profit: $4.64
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$4.51

No position

Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $123.74
Potential payout: $127.11
Potential profit: $3.37
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$3.24

No position

Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $120.43
Potential payout: $127.11
Potential profit: $6.67
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$6.55

Yes position

Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $8.95
Potential payout: $120.96
Potential profit: $112.01
Multiplier: 13.51x
User PnL: -$111.71

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.19
Potential profit: $75.19
User PnL: -$61.21

No position

Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.89
Potential profit: $63.89
User PnL: -$63.83

No position

Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $59.09
Potential payout: $60.39
Potential profit: $1.3
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$1.24

No position

Will Japan GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.82
Potential profit: $23.82
User PnL: -$23.8

Yes position

Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.36
Potential profit: $22.36
User PnL: -$21.82

No position

Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $21.47
Potential payout: $21.48
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

XRP Up or Down - November 4, 11PM ET

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.02

Down position

Meta (META) Up or Down on November 20?

Ends Nov 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.68

No position

Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.9

No position

Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.87

No position

Will Valencia win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3PM ET

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38

No position

Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.25

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-05?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79

No position

Will Bill O’Dea win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.71

No position

Will FC Volendam win on 2025-11-01?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

No position

Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Up position

Solana Up or Down - November 1, 10PM ET

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7AM ET

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34

No position

Will Mussab Ali win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will October 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 63°F or higher on November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

No position

Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

No position

Will another person win the first round?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 4?

No 99.7% 20.13 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 1?

No 99.9% 20.09 shares
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 48.0 and 48.9 in June?

No 99.6% 20.16 shares
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,204,000 and $1,237,000 on June 30?

No 99.9% 20.05 shares
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,171,000 and $1,204,000 on June 30?

No 99.9% 20.05 shares
Will the median home value in New York City be between $585,000 and $592,000 on June 30?

No 99.9% 20.05 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

No 98.2% 20.4 shares
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?

No 99.9% 2.67 shares
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?

No 98.6% 21.78 shares
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $74 on June 18?

Yes 99.9% 21.49 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

No 99.8% 21.51 shares
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 21.49 shares