Yes position
Will Danielle Bethell win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Polymarket Trader
0xB2f661e39574c9F4B8378dE3a38B08FaA1165d2d-1770109235958
0xb2f661e39574c9f4b8378de3a38b08faa1165d2d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.35
- Realized PnL
- $3.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $149.69
- Potential profit
- $148.71
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.56
- Potential payout
- $148.82
- Potential profit
- $147.26
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $137.51
- Potential profit
- $137.02
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $137.5
- Potential profit
- $137.09
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $137.5
- Potential profit
- $136.47
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $132.82
- Potential profit
- $131.82
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $122.22
- Potential profit
- $121.06
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $109.07
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $106.99
- Potential profit
- $105.97
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $103.13
- Potential profit
- $102.25
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.77
Yes position
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.15
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Yes position
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $82.5
- Potential profit
- $80.48
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $4.44
- Potential payout
- $81.48
- Potential profit
- $77.04
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- $2.24
Yes position
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $81.48
- Potential profit
- $80.22
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will Larry Hogan win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.33
- Potential profit
- $78.33
- User PnL
- -$2.24
Yes position
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $2.05
- Potential payout
- $73.33
- Potential profit
- $71.28
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will Jacy Todd win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.69
- Potential profit
- $71.69
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Yes position
Will Kurt Wedekind win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70.75
- Potential profit
- $70.75
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Yes position
Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $2.43
- Potential payout
- $67.54
- Potential profit
- $65.11
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$1.42
Yes position
Will Joe S. San Agustin win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $66.43
- Potential profit
- $65.93
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$8.8
Yes position
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $7.63
- Potential payout
- $66.38
- Potential profit
- $58.75
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $3.78
Yes position
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $1.72
- Potential payout
- $66
- Potential profit
- $64.28
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Yes position
Will Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.92
- Potential profit
- $65.92
- User PnL
- -$7.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 29°F or below on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $862.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $241.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.52
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.01
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.01
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.01
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.5
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.2
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.34
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.43
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 39°F or below on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $86.79
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 64°F or higher on April 21?Yes 16% 34 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 64°F or higher on April 21?Yes 26% 55.34 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 14?Yes 23% 64.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 7?Yes 0.1% 1,500 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 7?Yes 0.1% 1,500 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 7?Yes 0.1% 1,500 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 7?Yes 0.1% 1,500 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 7?Yes 0.1% 1,500 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 7?Yes 0.1% 1,500 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 7?Yes 0.1% 1,500 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 7?Yes 0.1% 1,500 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 7?Yes 0.1% 1,500 shares