Polymarket Trader

moneymemoneynow

0xb3063cd351d2f0bcf80f7bb18d2095331f880fb9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $445.5
Realized PnL: $620.29
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.39K
User PnL: -$56.74

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $445.5
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $104.5
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $203.5

No position

Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $449.73
Potential profit: $449.73
User PnL: -$58.46

No position

GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420
Potential profit: $420
User PnL: -$39.06

Yes position

Meta "Mango" model released by March 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.98
Potential profit: $399.98
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$5

No position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase February 17-23?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$17.5

Yes position

Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $239.11
Potential profit: $239.11
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.48
Potential profit: $191.48
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $177.18
Potential profit: $177.18
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 25, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $172.12
Potential profit: $172.12
User PnL: -$20

No position

ChatGPT Outage by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170
Potential profit: $170
User PnL: -$51

Yes position

Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 26, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.7
Potential profit: $148.7
User PnL: -$14.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.94

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.45

Yes position

Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.56

Yes position

GPT-5.4 released by March 5?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.8

Yes position

Will Artemis II launch by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.5

Yes position

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $19.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.4 released by March 5?

Yes 99.7% 510.41 shares
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?

Yes 80.5% 510.41 shares
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?

Yes 1.3% 300 shares
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?

No 23.2% 80 shares
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?

No 37.5% 266.63 shares
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 27, 2026?

Yes 8.4% 239.11 shares
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 26, 2026?

Yes 9.8% 148.7 shares
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 25, 2026?

Yes 11.6% 172.12 shares
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 24, 2026?

Yes 10.4% 191.48 shares
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 23, 2026?

Yes 11.3% 177.18 shares
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?

No 2.1% 779.55 shares
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?

No 4.9% 408.48 shares