Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- User PnL
- -$1.32K
Polymarket Trader
lihood91211
0xb31bc6957d75c0610cfea24ddde95e7fff11b140
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $549.71
- Realized PnL
- $7.55K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Morocco position
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $143.71
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $272.96
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$56.29
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $278.33
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $55
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $78.33
Y
Yes position
Will Sweden be the worst-placed European nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $119.28
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$12.48
Yes position
Will Hyperbeat launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $49.2
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $70.8
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$55.2
Yes position
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $99.01
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
N
No position
Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.8%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $91.25
- Multiplier
- 11.43x
- User PnL
- -$40.25
N
No position
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $16
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $84
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–$2.50 in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $64.64
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$4.19
Yes position
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $0.73
- Potential payout
- $63.62
- Potential profit
- $62.89
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will Hotstuff launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $29.93
- Potential payout
- $57
- Potential profit
- $27.08
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$18.52
N
No position
Will Elliot Anderson join Manchester City?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $3.42
- Potential payout
- $55.55
- Potential profit
- $52.13
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$30.47
Yes position
Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be above 85%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $14
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $26
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Jose Ramirez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
Ends Nov 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $28.6
- Potential profit
- $28.53
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
N
No position
Will Paraguay be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $13.17
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- $852.43
Yes position
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.2%
- Multiplier
- 4.73x
- User PnL
- $702.01
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $552.8
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $477.36
Yes position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.2%
- Multiplier
- 10.87x
- User PnL
- $443
No position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $434.18
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $403.67
Yes position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.2%
- Multiplier
- 7.07x
- User PnL
- $389.21
Yes position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- $375.51
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $338.5
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $329.04
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.25
Yes position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $205.09
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- $193.78
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- $192.49
Yes position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $189.37
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.57x
- User PnL
- $187.14
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.4%
- Multiplier
- 3.94x
- User PnL
- $170.42
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $166.27
Yes position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $156.18
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $151.41
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $148.41
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.4%
- Multiplier
- 3.94x
- User PnL
- $143.75
No position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.1%
- Multiplier
- 9.01x
- User PnL
- $135.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Charles Park be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?Yes 6.2% 100 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 37.6% 100 shares
- Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 90.2% 8.17 shares
- Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 10.3% 12.03 shares
- Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Yes 13% 36.4 shares
- Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?Yes 12% 23.59 shares
- Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?Yes 5% 23.65 shares
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)Morocco 48% 416.67 shares
- Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?No 89.8% 35.34 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 14.4% 80 shares
- Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No 98.7% 34.04 shares
- Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No 63% 12.03 shares