Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $7.8
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $42.19
- Multiplier
- 6.41x
- User PnL
- -$22.2
Polymarket Trader
0xb326b61fa3aEA3B00d02a2deb73D043A37bc43bA-1781973652351
0xb326b61fa3aea3b00d02a2deb73d043a37bc43ba
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $98.07
- Realized PnL
- $3.54
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $30.99
- Potential payout
- $47.68
- Potential profit
- $16.69
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $10.99
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.7%
- Current value
- $14.83
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $5.58
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Over position
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $17.85
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $7.85
Over position
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $7.58
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $7.58
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.42
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $6.16
- Potential payout
- $7.46
- Potential profit
- $1.31
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $5.3
- Potential payout
- $6.1
- Potential profit
- $0.79
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $5.53
- Potential payout
- $5.75
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.53
N
No position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $2.08
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
T1 position
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Karmine Corp position
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over 56% 17.86 shares
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over 66% 15.15 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?No 96% 2.08 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?No 73.5% 20.41 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 60% 49.99 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 41.9% 47.68 shares
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)T1 88% 22.73 shares
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-InKarmine Corp 86% 5.81 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?No 67% 7.46 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 87% 5.75 shares
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?No 82% 6.1 shares