Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $113.63
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$533.05
Polymarket Trader
0xb3348BFdEFcFCae8B926db2A8F4fe91960050e27-1760579258497
0xb3348bfdefcfcae8b926db2a8f4fe91960050e27
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $358.25
- Realized PnL
- $190
- Win rate
- 72.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $244.63
- Potential payout
- $719.49
- Potential profit
- $474.86
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$256.96
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $625
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.88
- Potential profit
- $116.88
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.78
- Potential profit
- $48.78
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.29
- Potential profit
- $42.29
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.86
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.62
Yes position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $90.51
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.43
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.32
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.24
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$15.59
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$160.14
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$257.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 69.7% 719.49 shares
- US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes 47.6% 423.22 shares
- US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes 33% 39.39 shares
- Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes 0.6% 2,076.92 shares
- US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yes 25.5% 383.83 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes 25% 398.48 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 37% 1,207.24 shares
- Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes 13% 1,538.46 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 37% 540.83 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No 98.8% 856.64 shares
- Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes 13% 538.46 shares
- Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?No 96.7% 72.72 shares