Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $113
- Potential payout
- $124.86
- Potential profit
- $11.86
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $3
Polymarket Trader
Herberg
@the_king_9934
0xb335f9cba8a99ae6152ecb72946c44cc76dc3a94
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $141.18
- Realized PnL
- $66.7
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $15.26
- Potential payout
- $19.44
- Potential profit
- $4.18
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $12.92
- Potential payout
- $15.48
- Potential profit
- $2.55
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.52
- Potential profit
- $6.52
- User PnL
- -$4.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.76
No position
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.63
Yes position
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.94
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.76
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.29
No position
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
No position
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 88.1% 124.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ETUp 28.2% 88.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETDown 85% 5.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETDown 79% 6.33 shares
- Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Yes 72% 19.44 shares
- Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 98.2% 13.34 shares
- Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?Yes 90.1% 15.53 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 66% 6.52 shares
- SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes 94.4% 70.54 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 65% 18.98 shares
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes 79% 18.99 shares
- SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes 95% 70.55 shares