Polymarket Trader

bit100k

0xb3472a1ff7ebc53e2ecda6680a9ed50f1516accd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $287.04
Realized PnL: $846.61
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $397.8
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $1.23
Potential payout: $107.37
Potential profit: $106.14
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $13.92
Potential payout: $99.09
Potential profit: $85.17
Multiplier: 7.12x
User PnL: $8.08

Down position

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.74
Potential profit: $80.74
User PnL: -$14.55

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91.7%
Current value: $45.82
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $4.18
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $44.54
Potential payout: $45.57
Potential profit: $1.03
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $42.76
Potential payout: $43
Potential profit: $0.24
User PnL: $8.79

Yes position

Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $5.52
Potential payout: $40.87
Potential profit: $35.35
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $1.84

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $36.6
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $3.4
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $25.99
Potential payout: $26
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Anthropic CEO arrested?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $22.87
Potential payout: $22.9
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $7.6
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.4
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $3

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $17.99
Potential payout: $17.99
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.98

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $10.31
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $0.69
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $9.69
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $695.57

Yes position

Yoon arrested by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.76

No position

Yoon reinstated as President before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.36

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.25

de Ridder position

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. de Ridder

Ends Jul 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.6

Crawford position

Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.02

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

Volkanovski position

Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopes

Ends Apr 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.93

Yes position

Will Khamzat Chimaev fight Sean Strickland next?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

No position

US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Caio Borralho position

UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72

No position

Will Hyperliquid not launch a token in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

Yes position

Pudgy Penguins airdrop in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64

No position

North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Hawk Tuah OnlyFans by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Lee Jae-myung impeached in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?

Down 20% 40.74 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 99.5% 61 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 79% 43 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

No 99.8% 43 shares
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

No 99.4% 16.99 shares
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

No 92.8% 45.57 shares
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

Yes 9% 40.87 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 98.7% 26 shares
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

No 97.1% 23 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

No 99.3% 28 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

Yes 99% 25 shares
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)

Caio Borralho 66% 8 shares