Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $147.25
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$132.24
Polymarket Trader
12beduins
0xb34b8c547021b42367fe15e38ec47732135a5d0e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.05K
- Realized PnL
- $2.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.6%
- Current value
- $939.76
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $751.98
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $324
Yes position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $106.34
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $957.06
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$35.7
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $993.4
- Potential profit
- $993.4
- User PnL
- -$231.29
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.9%
- Current value
- $431.41
- Potential payout
- $608.91
- Potential profit
- $177.5
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.55
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $5.27
- Potential payout
- $363.11
- Potential profit
- $357.85
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$105.27
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $140.22
- Potential payout
- $289.11
- Potential profit
- $148.89
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $18.35
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $42.08
- Potential payout
- $255
- Potential profit
- $212.93
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $190.32
- Potential payout
- $211.47
- Potential profit
- $21.15
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $61.21
Yes position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.25
- Potential profit
- $98.25
- User PnL
- -$4.89
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $8.91
- Potential payout
- $80.99
- Potential profit
- $72.08
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.9%
- Current value
- $11.16
- Potential payout
- $59.22
- Potential profit
- $48.05
- Multiplier
- 5.31x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $44
- User PnL
- -$19.36
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- User PnL
- -$14.7
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $13.56
- Potential payout
- $20.24
- Potential profit
- $6.68
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $2.43
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $5.98
- Potential payout
- $8.55
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $2.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $491.6
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $421.2
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.31
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $246.42
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $155.7
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $111.65
No position
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.44
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.18
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.82
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $57.56
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $46.56
No position
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.36
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.14
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.48
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.65
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.92
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.31
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $24.25
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.45
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.18
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $20.09
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.82
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Yes 73% 7.99 shares
- Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Yes 80% 8 shares
- Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Yes 81% 27.14 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?Yes 7.4% 30.83 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Yes 48% 92.63 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Yes 47% 57.24 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 70.8% 232.59 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 7% 22 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?Yes 14% 21 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Yes 45% 36.71 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 31% 160 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 30% 203.11 shares