Polymarket Trader

RiskOnRad

0xb35ef60508714a995abc372a80ce8ed0c1c47cc4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $773.81
Realized PnL: $476.22
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $172.11
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.55K
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $17.21

Yes position

Will Meta have the top AI model on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the top AI model on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $601.7
Potential payout: $865.88
Potential profit: $264.18
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $125.3

Yes position

Will Lee Jun-seok endorse Lee Jae-myung?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.89
Potential profit: $238.89
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $219.81
Potential profit: $219.81
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Lee Jun-seok endorse another candidate?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.74
Potential profit: $123.74
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Sam Altman buy TikTok?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Lee Jun-seok endorse Kim Moon-soo?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.91
Potential profit: $25.91
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Amazon buy TikTok?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.79
Potential profit: $12.79
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Microsoft buy TikTok?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in May?

Ends Jun 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Greens win 4+ seats in Australian Election?

Ends May 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $673.05

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $322.73

Yes position

Will Chelsea vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?

Ends Jan 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.73

Yes position

Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.61

Yes position

Will West Ham win on 2025-01-14?

Ends Jan 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.43

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip below $100k by tomorrow?

Ends Dec 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

Yes position

Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will there be a US Government shutdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will Montenegro qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Georgia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Luigi Mangione extradited to New York in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Will West Ham vs. Fulham end in a draw?

Ends Jan 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-14?

Ends Jan 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the next Pope require 5–6 ballots?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-14?

Ends Jan 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.8

No position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.64

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?

Ends Dec 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.69

No position

Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

No position

TikTok banned in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$150

No position

Will Armenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$253.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?

No 9% 1,721.11 shares
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

No 55% 865.88 shares
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Yes 46% 597.65 shares
Will Armenia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?

No 53.5% 473.82 shares
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?

No 66.6% 201.35 shares
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?

No 65% 138.46 shares
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?

No 65% 30.77 shares
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?

No 65% 153.92 shares
Will Georgia qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Will Montenegro qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?

No 64.9% 160.24 shares
Will Microsoft buy TikTok?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares