Yes position
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $997.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Polymarket Trader
Straitofgibraltar
0xb35fdc054fca51705f61fddd0a6e5271f8733e04
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.19
- Realized PnL
- $940.99
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $2.66
- Potential payout
- $760
- Potential profit
- $757.34
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $6.08
- Potential payout
- $715.25
- Potential profit
- $709.17
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.67
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $665
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.52
- Potential payout
- $505.88
- Potential profit
- $504.37
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.23
Yes position
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $6.02
- Potential payout
- $415
- Potential profit
- $408.98
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $288.82
- Potential profit
- $287.52
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $4.79
- Potential payout
- $149.57
- Potential profit
- $144.78
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $4.02
- Potential payout
- $143.57
- Potential profit
- $139.55
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $141.56
- Potential profit
- $140.5
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Current value
- $16.58
- Potential payout
- $126.06
- Potential profit
- $109.48
- Multiplier
- 7.60x
- User PnL
- $1.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.27
Yes position
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-08?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETUp 10.6% 37.74 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETDown 4% 125 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETDown 21% 23.81 shares
- Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 0.7% 715.25 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 3.3% 149.57 shares
- Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 0.3% 1,000 shares
- Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 0.3% 666.67 shares
- Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?Yes 1.4% 415 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes 0.7% 505.88 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes 1% 288.82 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?Yes 1.4% 141.56 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.5% 760 shares