Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.44
- Potential profit
- $121.44
- User PnL
- -$10.19
Polymarket Trader
0xb364EB5a0A9811faD24D6865737E82afF7B6e3B1-1775718461067
0xb364eb5a0a9811fad24d6865737e82aff7b6e3b1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $58.71
- Realized PnL
- -$12.69
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.32
- Potential profit
- $95.32
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.2%
- Current value
- $40.73
- Potential payout
- $70.04
- Potential profit
- $29.31
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $0.73
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.4
- Potential profit
- $50.4
- User PnL
- -$25.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.6%
- Current value
- $10.42
- Potential payout
- $30.08
- Potential profit
- $19.66
- Multiplier
- 2.89x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $7.56
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $18.08
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$2.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 58.2% 17.18 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETDown 51% 49.02 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETDown 54% 46.3 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETDown 45% 55.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETUp 81% 27.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETUp 92% 27.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETDown 56% 44.64 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 57.2% 17.48 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 57.2% 17.48 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETUp 71% 35.21 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETUp 5% 176.63 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETUp 8.4% 298.06 shares